(CNN)
-- Last
spring, U.S.
doctors'
offices were
barraged
with phone
calls and
worried
patients
packed into
hospitals.
Schools
closed. Face
masks and
Tamiflu were
suddenly in
short
supply. The
country
verged on an
H1N1 panic.
The new flu
virus, first
widely
reported in
Mexico, was
infecting
the young
and healthy,
rather than
those
usually most
at risk, the
elderly and
infirm.
Beginning in
April 2009,
H1N1 flu
fanned
across the
globe. The
World Health
Organization
declared it
a global
pandemic in
June.
Hand
sanitizer
was suddenly
seen
everywhere,
and, heeding
the
often-repeated
advice of
top U.S.
health
officials,
many people
began
coughing
into their
shoulders or
elbows
rather than
covering
their mouths
with their
hands.
"My patients
were so
anxious,"
recalled Dr.
Danielle
Ofri, an
internist at
Bellevue
Hospital in
New York.
"They were
so agitated.
They wanted
to know
about that
swine flu
vaccine and
when they're
going to get
it.
"It was
another
variation of
the flu. Yet
for our
patients, it
seemed so
different,
so unusual,
so scary --
that the
emotions
took off
well out of
proportion
of the
disease."
The toll,
while
devastating
to the
families of
those who
died of
H1N1, has
not matched
early
projections
of as many
as 90,000
flu-related
fatalities
in the U.S.
H1N1 may
have killed
as many as
17,000
Americans,
according to
the Centers
for Disease
Control and
Prevention.
In an
average
year, about
36,000
people die
from
seasonal
flu-related
causes,
according to
the CDC.
Today, the
visible
signs of
fear have
ebbed. Many
vaccination
clinics
report low
turnout and
have cut
back their
hours,
according to
local news
reports. A
recent
health poll
by the
Harvard
School of
Public
Health
reported
that nearly
half of
those
surveyed
believed the
outbreak was
over.
On Tuesday,
a committee
of the World
Health
Organization
is scheduled
to convene
to review
the H1N1
situation
and possibly
begin the
process of
officially
downgrading
the
pandemic.
However, Dr.
Keiji
Fukuda, the
special
adviser on
pandemic
influenza to
the
director-general
of the WHO,
warned the
change does
not mean
H1N1 is no
longer a
concern.
"The ending
of a
pandemic is
not an
on-and-off
phenomenon,"
he said at a
press
briefing
last week.
"We really
expected it
to be more
of a
tailing-off
phenomenon."
Although it
seems that
H1N1 has
receded from
the public
consciousness,
Fukuda said,
"It is
expected
that it will
continue to
be a
significant
virus,
circulating
around the
world as we
head into
the winter
or the
coming
winter in
2010 and
2011."
Last week,
the WHO
recommended
that the
pandemic
H1N1
influenza
strain be
included in
the flu
vaccine for
the coming
fall and
winter. A
Food and
Drug
Administration
committee
took similar
steps
Monday,
which means
there will
not be a
separate
H1N1 vaccine
this fall.
Paging Dr.
Gupta blog:
2009 H1N1
flu strain
will be in
next season
flu vaccine
Although
some people
may think
that
including
H1N1 in the
regular
seasonal
vaccine is a
sign that
it's a
reduced
threat,
Dr.
Michael
Osterholm,
director of
the
University
of
Minnesota's
Center for
Infectious
Disease
Research and
Policy, said
the risks
should not
be
discounted.
"I don't
think there
is any
reason to
minimize
what's yet
ahead, just
because it's
in the
seasonal flu
vaccine.
"This
virus does
do damage
differently
than
seasonal
flu,"
Osterholm
said. "We're
talking
about a
disease that
causes
severe
disease and
deaths in a
much younger
population
where you
don't expect
to see
that."
Public
health
agencies
have been
criticized
for sounding
alarmist
about H1N1.
But Ira
Longini, a
professor of
biostatistics
at the
University
of
Washington
School of
Public
Health and
Community
Medicine,
said not
much was
known in the
spring of
2009 when
the virus
began
sickening
and killing
people.
"It is
difficult
when you're
dealing with
a
potentially
extremely
dangerous
virus," said
Longini.
"You err on
the side of
caution. It
could've
been really
bad -- it
wasn't. It's
much better
than not
reacting and
having a
public
health
disaster."
Initially,
H1N1
elicited an
extraordinary
response,
described as
an emotional
epidemiology
by
Bellevue's
Ofri, who is
also an
associate
professor at
the New York
University
School of
Medicine and
author of
"Medicine in
Translation."
"The
diseases
themselves
have their
own
epidemiology,
related to
biological
environmental
factors,"
she said.
"Our
perception
of illness
runs its own
independent
course from
the actual
epidemiology
of an
illness.
H1N1 is a
perfect
example."
One reason
that the
pandemic
struck a
chord was
that it fit
an "outbreak
narrative."
These types
of diseases
often
originate
from
developing
countries
and spread
throughout
the world.
"It feels
like the
world is
being
overtaken,"
she said.
"Ebola, HIV,
SARS were
examples of
how the
pattern of
disease
development
fit this
narrative
arc and
struck our
emotion."
Nowadays,
she said,
her patients
barely
mention
swine flu.
"Once this
was out of
headlines,
once the
drama of the
narrative
arc is gone,
it's no
longer this
unknown,
evil, dark
illness,"
she said.
"Now it's
kind of
mundane,
prosaic and
so it
doesn't make
an
interesting
movie any
longer. So
it doesn't
concern
people
anymore."
That's
reflected in
comments
from
Christopher
Gower, an
iReport
contributor
who lives in
Henderson,
Kentucky.
"I think it
was
overblown, "
he said of
H1N1. "They
scared the
public
pretty bad."
Gower didn't
get the
vaccine,
because he
distrusts
drug
companies
and fears
side
effects. He
considered
H1N1 just
like a
seasonal
flu.
Watch
Gower's
iReport
submission.
But for
Egberto
Williams,
H1N1 posed
an imminent
danger for
his family.
His wife has
lupus, an
autoimmune
disorder.
"It was
extremely
frightening,"
said
Williams,
who lives in
Kingwood,
Texas. "I
usually
don't get
scared but
this hit
home because
you could
see the
reality of
young people
dying from
getting
something
that looked
like a cold.
When it came
to my wife,
it was
affecting
people who
are
immunosuppressed.
She was
flying
blind."
Watch
Williams'
iReport
submission
His wife was
able to get
the vaccine
early.
And advances
in public
health
enabled
fast,
effective
response,
said Longini,
the
biostatistician.
"Through
surveillance
and modern
microbiology
and disease
control
methods,
we've
learned,
we're able
to react
quite
quickly," he
said. "We
know a lot,
we're able
to deal with
threats if
we're
organized
quite well."